Fun Estimates

Life expectancy calculator

Age now
Sex
Smoking
Exercise
Diet
Alcohol
Weight
Estimated life expectancy 85.5 years
Baseline 83 years adjusted by 2.5 years years
Years remaining 45.5
Weeks remaining 2,374
Proportion lived 46.8 %
Population baseline 83 years
Lifestyle adjustment 2.5 years
Population averages · not a forecast

A crude population estimate, not a prediction about you. It ignores genetics, medical history, income, location and chance — all of which matter more than most of the factors above. It is not medical advice.

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Average life expectancy in wealthy countries is around 79 for men and 83 for women. Lifestyle factors shift it substantially: heavy smoking removes about a decade, regular exercise adds a couple of years, and obesity removes about four.

How to read this estimate

1 Enter your age and the lifestyle factors.
2 Read the adjusted estimate and the years remaining.
3 Note the adjustment row — that is what your choices contributed.
4 Treat the whole thing as a population average, not a forecast.

Smoking dominates every other modifiable factor by a wide margin. The adjustment here — around ten years for heavy smoking — is consistent with the large cohort studies, and no combination of the other factors comes close to offsetting it. What the calculation cannot include is what actually varies most between individuals: genetics, existing conditions, income, and simple chance. Anyone taking a number like this seriously as a personal forecast is over-reading it considerably.

Questions

Not very, as a personal prediction. It applies population averages and cannot see your genetics or medical history.

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